Mutation: Difference between revisions

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=== Mathmatical Challenges ===
=== Mathmatical Challenges ===
There is also a massive mathematical challenge in regard to evolutionary changes and mutations, in particular the chance of obtaining the related mutations that evolution requires.
What has been known for years by the evolution and creation science communities is the severe lack of mathematical probability of mutational change producing truly evolutionary changes.


First and foremost, mutations are rare. They happen on average about once in every 10 million duplications of the DNA molecule (10<sup>7</sup>, a one followed by 7 zeroes). The problem comes when you need a series of related mutations to occur. The odds of getting two mutations that are related to one another is the product of their separate probabilities, one in 10<sup>7</sup> x 10<sup>7</sup> or 10<sup>14</sup>, a one followed by 14 zeroes, a hundred trillion! That would barely change the shape of a fly wing for example, this is a long way from a truly new structure, and certainly a long ways off from turning the fly into anything other than a fly.
First and foremost, mutations either beneficial, negative or neutral are rare instances. They happen on average about once in every 10 million duplications of the DNA molecule (10<sup>7</sup>, a one followed by 7 zeroes). The problem comes when following the evolutionary pardigm and ultimately having to rely on hundreds if not thousands of related mutations.


Now since evolution needs the consistency of related mutations to work at all, what are the odds of getting three related mutations? That is one in a billion trillion, or 10<sup>21</sup>. Suddenly the ocean isn't big enough to hold enough bacteria to make that chance likely. You can quickly tell that at just three related mutations, evolution via mutations as its mechanism to produce ape to man changes is woefully inadequate.
This is patently impossible as science coupled with mathematics has shown us. Simply put the odds of getting two mutations that are related to one another is the product of their separate probabilities. If every 10<sup>7</sup> duplications of DNA a mutation occurs the equation would start to look like this. 10<sup>7</sup> x 10<sup>7</sup> or 10<sup>14</sup>, that is a one followed by 14 zeroes, a hundred trillion! Two mutations, related or not would barely change finch beak sizes due to drought, or change the shape of a fly wing.


Also quite contrary to evolution and mutations recent research published in the ''Journal of Molecular Biology'' by Douglas Axe, a [[protein]] scientist, shows just how exceptionally rare the chance of getting certain working protein sequences can be let alone whole genomic structure evolution from fish to man as ultimately predicted. In other words, as Dr. Axe wrote regarding the probability it is, "''less than one in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion.''" [http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/opinion/viewpoints/stories/DN-bchapman_10edi.ART.State.Edition1.43d902d.html]
What are the odds of getting three related mutations? That is, again taking into account the mutation rate of duplicated DNA, one in a billion trillion or 10<sup>21</sup>. Suddenly the [[ocean]] isn't big enough to hold enough bacteria to make that chance very likely. You can quickly tell that at just three related mutations, evolution via mutation and [[natural selection]] as its mechanism to produce truly novel information or molecule-to-man change is woefully inadequate.
 
====Protien folds====
Also, calculations have been done and research published in the ''Journal of Molecular Biology'' by Douglas Axe, a [[protein]] scientist. He shows just how exceptionally rare the chance of getting certain working protein sequences can be let alone whole genomic structure evolution from fish to man as ultimately predicted. In other words, as Dr. Axe wrote regarding the probability it is, "''less than one in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion.''" [http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/opinion/viewpoints/stories/DN-bchapman_10edi.ART.State.Edition1.43d902d.html]


== Related References ==
== Related References ==
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